Evidence-Based Framework for the Development of Young Athletes in a National Sports Context
DOI:
https://doi.org/10.51224/SRXIV.544Keywords:
Athlete development, Children and youth sport, Sports policy, Talent development, Talent identificationAbstract
The development of young athletes continues to be a key concern for sports organizations, coaches and policy makers. In Sweden, the public debate on the balance between early talent promotion programs and more inclusive, long-term athlete development models has recently intensified. This discussion reflects the general global tensions within youth sport systems between high performance ambitions and the goal of lifelong sport, as well as other societal goals related to sport. Taking the Swedish context as a starting point, this perspective article explores the challenges and opportunities in integrating early talent promotion with sustainable athlete development frameworks.
While the Swedish case provides the empirical context, the findings and recommendations presented are intended to inform broader international and national debates. We argue that evidence-based youth sport systems can support both elite performance and broader participation goals simultaneously. We propose a nuanced, evidence-based approach that recognizes the complexity of youth athlete development and the importance of aligning scientific evidence with local cultural and organizational contexts. The focus is on creating sport environments that support athlete well-being, intrinsic motivation and diverse opportunities for participation. Rather than prescribing a one-size-fits-all solution, this article highlights principles to help national federations and clubs design systems that promote both elite performance and broad participation. Ultimately, sustainable athlete development requires contextual governance, continuous evaluation and a commitment to promoting both performance goals and the wider benefits of sport.
Metrics
References
Blågul framtid - om krisen i svensk fotboll: “Bredden ser inte bra ut” [Internet]. fotbollskanalen. [cited 2025 Mar 24]. Available from: https://www.fotbollskanalen.se/sverige/blagul-framtid-om-krisen-i-svensk-fotboll-bredden-ser-inte-bra-ut/
Så vinner vi igen [Internet]. Volante. [cited 2025 Mar 23]. Available from: https://volante.se/bocker/sa-vinner-vi-igen/
Kritiken mot elitsatsning: ”En akademisjuka – vi slåss [Internet]. 2025 [cited 2025 Mar 23]. Available from: https://www.tv4.se/artikel/3rQCcJOs671lvjvqfYrcnT/kritiken-mot-elitsatsning-en-akademisjuka-vi-slass-om-barnen
Regeringskansliet R. Regeringen vill motverka tidig selektering inom idrotten och skapa plats för fler [Internet]. Regeringskansliet. Regeringen och Regeringskansliet; 2024 [cited 2025 Mar 23]. Available from: https://www.regeringen.se/pressmeddelanden/2024/12/regeringen-vill-motverka-tidig-selektering-inom-idrotten-och-skapa-plats-for-fler/
Güllich A, Barth M, Hambrick DZ, Macnamara BN. Participation patterns in talent development in youth sports. Front Sports Act Living. 2023 May 18;5:1175718. Doi: 10.3389/fspor.2023.1175718
Sweeney L, Horan D, MacNamara Á. Premature Professionalisation or Early Engagement? Examining Practise in Football Player Pathways. Front Sports Act Living. 2021 Jun 7;3:660167. doi: 10.3389/fspor.2021.660167
Baker J, Mosher A, Fraser-Thomas J. Is it too early to condemn early sport specialisation? Br J Sports Med. 2021 Feb;55(3):179-180. doi: 10.1136/bjsports-2020-102053.
Ford PR, Carling C, Garces M, Marques M, Miguel C, Farrant A, et al. The developmental activities of elite soccer players aged under-16 years from Brazil, England, France, Ghana, Mexico, Portugal and Sweden. J Sports Sci. 2012;30:1653–63. Doi: 10.1080/02640414.2012.701762.
Sackett DL, Rosenberg WMC, Gray JAM, Haynes RB, Richardson WS. Evidence based medicine: what it is and what it isn’t. Sackett DL, Rosenberg WM, Gray JA, Haynes RB, Richardson WS. Evidence based medicine: what it is and what it isn't. BMJ. 1996 Jan 13;312(7023):71-2. doi: 10.1136/bmj.312.7023.71.
Fullagar HHK, McCall A, Impellizzeri FM, Favero T, Coutts AJ. The Translation of Sport Science Research to the Field: A Current Opinion and Overview on the Perceptions of Practitioners, Researchers and Coaches. Sports Med. 2019;49:1817–24. Doi: 10.1007/s40279-019-01139-0.
Côté J, Turnnidge J, Murata A, S. Mcguire C, J. Martin L. Youth sport research: Describing the integrated dynamic elements of the personal assets framework. Int J Sport Psychol. 51:562–78.
Baker J, Schorer J, Wattie N. Compromising Talent: Issues in Identifying and Selecting Talent in Sport. Quest. 2018;70:48–63. Doi: 10.1080/00336297.2017.1333438.
Baker J, Johnston K, Till K. Is it time to retire ‘talent’ from discussions of athlete development? High Abil Stud. 2024;35:93–105. Doi: 10.1080/13598139.2023.2295320.
Johnston K, McAuley ABT, Kelly AL, Baker J. Language games and blurry terminology: Can clarity enhance athlete development? Front Sports Act Living. 2023 Apr 17;5:1150047. doi: 10.3389/fspor.2023.
Bergeron MF, Mountjoy M, Armstrong N, Chia M, Côté J, Emery CA, et al. International Olympic Committee consensus statement on youth athletic development. Br J Sports Med. 2015;49:843–51. Doi: 10.1136/bjsports-2015-094962.
Ford PR, Ward ,Paul, Hodges ,Nicola J., and Williams AM. The role of deliberate practice and play in career progression in sport: the early engagement hypothesis. High Abil Stud. 2009;20:65–75. Doi: 10.1080/13598130902860721.
Riktlinjer för barn- och ungdomsidrott [Internet]. [cited 2025 Apr 8]. Available from: https://www.rf.se/rf-arbetar-med/barn--och-ungdomsidrott/riktlinjer-for-barn--och-ungdomsidrott
Brustio PR, McAuley ABT, Ungureanu AN, Kelly AL. Career trajectories, transition rates, and birthdate distributions: the rocky road from youth to senior level in men’s European football. Front Sports Act Living. 2024;6:1420220. Doi: 10.3389/fspor.2024.1420220.
Sweeney L, Kalén A, Ivarsson A, Lundberg TR. The developmental pathways of senior international soccer players: A 13-year analysis of the career trajectories of the Swedish men’s senior international team. PloS One. 2025;20:e0316216. Doi: 10.1371/journal.pone.0316216.
Güllich A, Barth M, Macnamara BN, Hambrick DZ. Quantifying the Extent to Which Successful Juniors and Successful Seniors are Two Disparate Populations: A Systematic Review and Synthesis of Findings. Sports Med. 2023;53:1201–17. Doi: 10.1007/s40279-023-01840-1.
Barth M, Güllich A, Macnamara BN, Hambrick DZ. Quantifying the Extent to Which Junior Performance Predicts Senior Performance in Olympic Sports: A Systematic Review and Meta-analysis. Sports Med. 2024;54:95–104. Doi: 10.1007/s40279-023-01906-0.
Predictors of Junior Versus Senior Elite Performance are Opposite: A Systematic Review and Meta-Analysis of Participation Patterns. Sports Med. 2022 Jun;52(6):1399-1416. doi: 10.1007/s40279-021-01625-4.
Güllich A, Macnamara BN, Hambrick DZ. What Makes a Champion? Early Multidisciplinary Practice, Not Early Specialization, Predicts World-Class Performance. Perspect Psychol Sci J Assoc Psychol Sci. 2022;17:6–29. Doi: 10.1177/1745691620974772.
Rees T, Hardy L, Güllich A, Abernethy B, Côté J, Woodman T, et al. The Great British Medalists Project: A Review of Current Knowledge on the Development of the World’s Best Sporting Talent. Sports Med. 2016;46:1041–58. Doi: 10.1007/s40279-016-0476-2.
Hill M, Scott S, Malina RM, Mcgee D, Cumming SP. Relative age and maturation selection biases in academy football. J Sports Sci. 2019;1–9. Doi: 10.1080/02640414.2019.1649524.
Morganti G, Kelly AL, Lascu A, Brustio PR, Padua E, Filetti C, et al. Relative age effects in European soccer: their association with contextual factors, impact on youth national teams’ performance, and presence at the senior level. Front Sports Act Living. 2025 Feb 20;7:1546978. doi: 10.3389/fspor.2025.
Malina RM, Cumming SP, Kontos AP, Eisenmann JC, Ribeiro B, Aroso J. Maturity-associated variation in sport-specific skills of youth soccer players aged 13-15 years. J Sports Sci. 2005;23:515–22. Doi: 10.1080/02640410410001729928.
Malina RM, Rogol AD, Cumming SP, Coelho E Silva MJ, Figueiredo AJ. Biological maturation of youth athletes: Assessment and implications. Br J Sports Med. 2015 Jul;49(13):852-9. doi: 10.1136/bjsports-2015-094623.
Sweeney L, Lundberg TR. Relative age and biological maturity-related selection biases in male youth soccer across different competitive levels within a national association. Sci Med Footb. 2024;1–9. Doi: 10.1080/24733938.2024.2369543.
Johnson A, Farooq A, Whiteley R. Skeletal maturation status is more strongly associated with academy selection than birth quarter. Sci Med Footb. 2017; 1(2), 157–163. https://doi.org/10.1080/24733938.2017.1283434.
Niklasson E, Lindholm O, Rietz M, Lind J, Johnson D, Lundberg TR. Who Reaches the NHL? A 20-Year Retrospective Analysis of Junior and Adult Ice Hockey Success in Relation to Biological Maturation in Male Swedish Players. Sports Med. 2024;54:1317–26. Doi: 10.1007/s40279-023-01985-z.
Fumarco L, Gibbs BG, Jarvis JA, Rossi G. The relative age effect reversal among the National Hockey League elite. PloS One. 2017;12:e0182827. Doi: 10.1371/journal.pone.0182827.
Verbeek J, Niessen A Susan M, Van Der Steen S, Van Yperen NW, Den Hartigh RJR. Career patterns within men’s and women’s soccer talent systems: the typical pathway to the top is atypical. Int J Perform Anal Sport. 2025;0:1–17. https://doi.org/10.1080/24748668.2025.2479940
Güllich A. Selection, de-selection and progression in German football talent promotion. Eur J Sport Sci. 2014;14:530–7. Doi: 10.1080/17461391.2013.858371.
Gulbin J, Weissensteiner J, Oldenziel K, Gagné F. Patterns of performance development in elite athletes. Eur J Sport Sci. 2013;13:605–14. Doi: 10.1080/17461391.2012.756542.
Bennett KJM, Vaeyens ,Roel, and Fransen J. Creating a framework for talent identification and development in emerging football nations. Sci Med Footb. 2019;3:36–42. Doi: 10.1080/24733938.2018.1489141.
Strosser S. The Association Between Parents’ Beliefs About Youth Sport Specialization and Their Children’s Specialization Status. J Sport Behav. 2022;45:147–61.
Brenner JS, LaBotz M, Sugimoto D, Stracciolini A. The Psychosocial Implications of Sport Specialization in Pediatric Athletes. J Athl Train. 2019;54:1021–9. Doi: 10.4085/1062-6050-394-18.
Walton CC, Rice S, Hutter RI, Currie A, Reardon CL, Purcell R. Mental Health in Youth Athletes: A Clinical Review. Adv Psychiatry Behav Health. 2021;1:119–33. Doi: 10.1016/j.ypsc.2021.05.011.
Waldron S, DeFreese JD, Pietrosimone B, Register-Mihalik J, Barczak N. Exploring Early Sport Specialization: Associations With Psychosocial Outcomes. Journal of Clinical Sport Psychology. 2019;24(2) 182–202. Doi: 10.1123/jcsp.2018-0061.
Oroande med allt dyrare idrott för barn och ungdomar - Riksidrottsförbundet [Internet]. [cited 2025 Mar 9]. Available from: https://www.rf.se/nyhetsarkiv/pressmeddelanden/2024-12-11-oroande-med-allt-dyrare-idrott-for-barn-och-ungdomar
Kearney PE, Sherwin I, O’Brien W, Nevill AM, Ng K. Higher Family Affluence is Associated With Multi-Sport Participation Among Irish Youth. Percept Mot Skills. 2023;130:1869–88. Doi: 10.1177/00315125231185653.
Söderström T. Who is selected as a talent in the Swedish youth national talent program in football. Universidad Europea; 2024 [cited 2025 Apr 1]. p. 137–137. Available from: https://urn.kb.se/resolve?urn=urn:nbn:se:umu:diva-226119
Descheemaeker K, Bosscher VD, Shibli S, Bottenburg M van. The trickle-up effect: exploring the relationship between youth sports participation and elite sporting success1. Manag Sport Leis. 2025; 1–17. https://doi.org/10.1080/23750472.2025.2459729.
Joseph J, McIntyre F, Joyce C, Scanlan A, Cripps A. A comparison of multidimensional qualities discriminant of selection in elite adolescent Australian basketball athletes. PLOS ONE. 2021;16:e0256032. Doi: 10.1371/journal.pone.0256032.
Mosher A, Till K, Fraser-Thomas J, Baker J. Revisiting Early Sport Specialization: What’s the Problem? Sports Health. 2021;14:13. Doi: 10.1177/19417381211049773.
Davis L, Appleby R, Davis P, Wetherell M, Gustafsson H. The role of coach-athlete relationship quality in team sport athletes’ psychophysiological exhaustion: implications for physical and cognitive performance. J Sports Sci. 2018;36:1985–92. Doi: 10.1080/02640414.2018.1429176.
Ivarsson A, Stenling A, Fallby J, Johnson U, Borg E, Johansson G.The predictive ability of the talent development environment on youth elite football players’ well-being: A person-centered approach. Psychol Sport Exerc. 2015;16:15–23. Doi: 10.1016/j.psychsport.2014.09.006.
López de Subijana C, Martin LJ, Ramos J, Côté J. How coach leadership is related to the coach-athlete relationship in elite sport. Int J Sports Sci Coach. 2021;16:1239–46. Doi: 10.1177/17479541211021523.
Côté J, Hancock DJ. Evidence-based policies for youth sport programmes. Int J Sport Policy Polit. 2016;8:51–65. Doi: 10.1080/19406940.2014.919338.
Beni S, Fletcher T, Ní Chróinín D. Meaningful Experiences in Physical Education and Youth Sport: A Review of the Literature. Quest. 2017;69:291–312. Doi: 10.1080/00336297.2016.1224192.
Eime RM, Young JA, Harvey JT, Charity MJ, Payne WR. A systematic review of the psychological and social benefits of participation in sport for children and adolescents: informing development of a conceptual model of health through sport. Int J Behav Nutr Phys Act. 2013;10:98. Doi: 10.1186/1479-5868-10-98.
Ryan RM, Deci EL. Self-Determination Theory: Basic Psychological Needs in Motivation, Development, and Wellness. Guilford Publications; 2018.
Ryan RM, Deci EL. Self-determination theory and the facilitation of intrinsic motivation, social development, and well-being. Am Psychol. 2000;55:68–78. Doi: 10.1037//0003-066x.55.1.68.
McCardle L, Young BW, Baker J. Self-regulated learning and expertise development in sport: current status, challenges, and future opportunities. Int Rev Sport Exerc Psychol. 2019;12:112–38. Doi: 10.1080/1750984X.2017.1381141.
Sigmund P, Güllich A. Individualisation, readjustment and athlete codetermination of high-performance training in athletics and volleyball. Int J Sports Sci Coach. 2022;17:772–81. Doi: 10.1177/17479541211043183.
Hidi S, and Renninger KA. The Four-Phase Model of Interest Development. Educ Psychol. 2006;41:111–27. Doi: 10.1207/s15326985ep4102_4.
Côté J, Allan V, Turnnidge J, Vierimaa M, Evans B. Youth talent development in sport. Adv Sport Exerc Psychol. 4th ed. Champaign, IL: Human Kinetics; p. 467–82.
Turnnidge J, Côté J. Transformational Coaching Workshop: Applying a Person-Centred Approach to Coach Development Programs. Int Sport Coach J. 2017;4:314–25. Doi: 10.1123/iscj.2017-0046.
Côté J, Gilbert W. An Integrative Definition of Coaching Effectiveness and Expertise. Int J Sports Sci Coach. 2009;4:307–23. Doi: 10.1260/174795409789623892.
Li L, Olson HO, Tereschenko I, Wang A, McCleery J. Impact of coach education on coaching effectiveness in youth sport: A systematic review and meta-analysis. Int J Sports Sci Coach. 2025;20:340–56. Doi: 10.1177/17479541241283442.
Bengtsson D, Stenling A, Nygren J, Ntoumanis N, Ivarsson A. The effects of interpersonal development programmes with sport coaches and parents on youth athlete outcomes: A systematic review and meta-analysis. Psychol Sport Exerc. 2024;70:102558. Doi: 10.1016/j.psychsport.2023.102558.
Henriksen K, Stambulova N. The social environment of talent development in youth sport. Front Sports Act Living. 2023 Feb 13;5:1127151. doi: 10.3389/fspor.2023.1127151.
Coutinho P, Ribeiro J, da Silva SM, Fonseca AM, Mesquita I. The Influence of Parents, Coaches, and Peers in the Long-Term Development of Highly Skilled and Less Skilled Volleyball Players. Front Psychol. 2021 Apr 30;12:667542. doi: 10.3389/fpsyg.2021.667542.
Downloads
Posted
License
Copyright (c) 2025 Tommy Lundberg, John Lind, Joseph Baker, Erik Lundqvist, Alex Lascu, Kathryn Johnston, Jean Côté, Job Fransen, Andreas Ivarsson (Author)

This work is licensed under a Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 International License.